To conservatives,
it seems a can't-lose proposition: Ask voters to ban
same-sex marriage, and they consistently endorse the idea,
from the South to the West.
Kansas on Tuesday became the latest and 18th state to
pass a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage. With
conservatives pushing to define marriage as a union of a man
and woman throughout the country, similar proposals are on
the ballot in three other states next year, and more than a
dozen are considering them.
New England has been the major holdout, however;
legislators and judges there have strengthened rights for
gays and lesbians.
Kansas voted by a more than 2-to-1 ratio Tuesday to
ban gay marriages and civil unions, and voters also ousted
the lone gay city council member in Topeka, Tiffany Muller,
who had defeated an emphatically antigay opponent in the primary.
But Connecticut seemed headed in the other direction
Wednesday, as state senators approved civil unions and sent
the proposal to the house. If the bill becomes law,
Connecticut would be the only state to do so without a court
order demanding that lawmakers act.
The New England examples--most decisively, Vermont's
civil unions and Massachusetts's legalized same-sex
marriages--are seen by opponents of equality as the threat
that's helping their cause. Advocates for gay marriage also
see those examples as a plus, by proving that fears that gay
marriage will somehow destroy the country's social fabric
are unfounded.
"The more places that we are able to extend the same
rights and responsibilities to all Americans, the more
places we've got a light to shine on what's happening," said
Joe Solmonese, president of Human Rights Campaign, a gay
rights advocacy group.
"Massachusetts, the last time I checked...is still
there. Marriage is still there," he said. "People are going
on with their lives; gay and lesbian couples are raising
their families and living their lives like everyone else.
None of what has been forecasted or what we've been warned
about seems to have happened there."
New England states aren't the only ones to offer gay
rights activists hope. California, Hawaii, and New Jersey
also allow domestic partnerships--though California and
Hawaii also have state laws that define marriage as the
union of a man and a woman.
Connecticut offers the strongest recent pro-gay
legislation, the civil unions measure, which would extend
all the rights and privileges of marriage to same-sex
couples but without an actual marriage license. While
Connecticut residents seem to back civil unions, however,
they do not back same-sex marriage, according to a
Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday. The poll found
that 56% of registered voters support civil unions; when it
comes to actual marriage, however, 53% oppose allowing
same-sex couples to marry.
In a breakdown of poll results according to political
party affiliation, a majority of Democrats back both civil
unions and gay marriage, 66% and 53%, respectively.
Republicans are narrowly divided on civil unions, 45% in
favor and 48% opposed, but 70% oppose gay marriage.
In Maine a new law signed last month protects gays
and lesbians from discrimination, though it made clear it
doesn't extend the rights of marriage. The state already
allows domestic partners--gay or straight--many of the legal
rights of marriage, such as rights to inheritance and
benefits. New Hampshire set up a commission to study civil
unions after legislators last year refused to recognize gay marriage.
For ban supporters, the key difference is a vote of
the people. "When the people are given a chance to decide,
their view is overwhelming," said Peter Sprigg at the
conservative Family Research Council. "Every state that had
this on the ballot passed it. It shows to me there is a
tremendous grassroots consensus that marriage is between a
man and a woman."
Voters will decide the question in Alabama in June
2006, and in South Dakota and Tennessee at the 2006
election. Bills are also moving forward in Minnesota, South
Carolina, and Texas to put the issue on the ballot there.
Meanwhile, courts are continuing to hash out the
dispute, giving hope to both sides. A California state judge
ruled last month that the state law banning same-sex
marriage was unconstitutional and that gay couples can
marry. A New York state judge ruled along similar lines in
February. Both decisions are under appeal.
Yale law professor William Eskridge, a constitutional
scholar active in support of gay rights, said that in the
end New England won't be the lone holdout, and he expects
resistance to the bans across the Northeast and on the West
Coast. But much of the rest of the country would likely back
a ban, he said, predicting as many as 40 states would adopt
them. Ultimately, the dispute will be decided by the U.S.
Supreme Court.
And by then, years of legally recognized same-sex
unions in Massachusetts, Vermont, and elsewhere will test
the warnings of critics that same-sex marriage is a threat
to the institution of marriage, he said. "Now we have
laboratories to observe whether these predictions would come
true," Eskridge said. "Now we can wait to see who's right."
(Robert Tanner, AP)