In the week after
Barack Obama's historic victory, gays and lesbians
are pondering another historic, albeit less
victorious, moment of their own. Three anti-gay
marriage propositions passed -- in Florida, Arizona, and
California. In Arkansas gay people were barred from adopting
children. Now the real fight begins.
The news has
centered largely on California's Proposition 8, which
garnered much of the pre-election publicity, due to the
high-profile involvement of people on both sides of
the issue -- celebrities like Brad Pitt and Steven
Spielberg for the No on 8 faction, and James Dobson's
Focus on the Family and Mormon Church members, major
contributors to the passage of the proposition.
Likewise,
post-election press focused heavily on Prop. 8's
passage. Articles dissected how the nation could elect
its first black president and pass a law that injects
discrimination into a state constitution -- made
more unbelievable still because California is a
harbinger for forward-thinking progressive movements,
usually followed in time by the rest of the country.
The
National Review Online's Jonah Goldberg, in a
piece titled "Progressivism's Achilles
Heel," writes, "Arguably the most liberal
presidential nominee in American history, Obama has given
some very old ideas an aura of new coolness. Congrats
on all that. Hope it works out for you." Then
the writer points out that gay marriage bans "have
ultimately passed in all 30 of the states in which they were
on the ballot."
Goldberg says
that if Obama hadn't pulled a huge number of minority
voters to the polls, the proposition would have been shot
down. Prop. 8 "would have failed in the Golden
State if it were up to white voters, who opposed it by
a 51-49 ratio. What carried it over the top was enormous
support from black voters, with about 70% of them backing
it. Hispanics also supported the ban by significant,
though smaller, margins. In Florida, where a similar
ban required a 60% margin, Amendment 2 just barely
passed, getting 60% of the white vote. The cushion came from
blacks, who voted 71% in favor, and Latinos, who voted 64%
in favor."
His point is one
that has been the centerpiece of the post-election
analysis. Black voters are essentially getting much of the
blame, to which Raymond Roker, a Huffington Post
blogger and founder of Urb magazine,
responds, "Stop Blaming California's Black
Voters for Prop. 8." Roker explains that he
voted against 8 and that black voters are not solely
responsible -- "Don't forget the 49% of Asians who
voted for Prop. 8. And the 53% of Latinos who fell in
line for it too. And then there is the white vote in
support of 8. Slightly under 50% percent of them, a group
representing 63% of California voters, voted 'Yes' on
8."
Roker suggests
that certain ethnic groups aren't the ones to
blame and says that it's the religion, stupid.
"Surveys showed religion played a major role in
voters' decisions. Even No on 8 supporters have admitted
that their camp was too complacent, arrogant and far too
unorganized."
USA Todayran
an interview with singer-songwriter Elton John in
which he proclaimed that using the word
marriage is what upsets voters. John is in a
civil partnership with David Furnish but said, "We're
not married. Let's get that right. We have a civil
partnership. What is wrong with Proposition 8 is that
they went for marriage. Marriage is going to put a lot
of people off, the word marriage."
The Los
Angeles Timesreported
on another theory making the rounds: that it
wasn't religion or ethnicity that determined
the outcome -- it was age. Quoting the new poll boy
wonder, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com:
"At the
end of the day, Prop. 8's passage was more a generational
matter than a racial one. If nobody over the age of 65
had voted, Prop. 8 would have failed by a point or
two. It appears that the generational splits may be
larger within minority communities than among whites,
although the data on this is sketchy."
Meanwhile,
coverage of the protests around California appeared with
increasing frequency in the Los Angeles Times.
One article discusses the difference in tone between the
election ads run by the anti-Prop. 8 bigwigs and the
grassroots campaign being propelled by individuals on
Facebook and other Internet sites. The No on 8
leadership,
writes The Times, relied on "a careful, disciplined
campaign with messages tested by focus groups and with only
a few people authorized to speak to the media. They
lost."
The new movement
is more like the Wild West, with protests seemingly
every two days somewhere in the state. The article notes
that the No on 8 leadership is being faulted by gay
citizens. "Others have said that the campaign
failed to engage people enough -- including some gay
activists now organizing protests."
Indeed, this led
the Napa Valley Register to ask, "Where
was the No on Prop 8 support BEFORE the election?"
Writes the editor, Dan Ross: "Hey protesters,
if this was so important to you, why didn't you get
out to the opposite street corners and work to
generate support for your position? Why wait until after the
decision is made by voters to get outside and be so vocal
about something you feel so passionate
about?"
The
Sacramento Beereported
that in the final weeks of the campaign, the No on 8
contingent was "in turmoil." Key staff
members were kicked to the curb, and the new people
discovered a complacent, sluggish organization that was
"slow to react," according to the
Bee's story.
The last-ditch
effort included ditching Ogilvy Public Relations Worldwide
for a Sacramento-based group; bringing in political
consultants from both parties; deemphasizing the
"Equality for All" slogan, which left people
wondering how to vote, and emphasizing "No
on 8"; and pushing campaign manager Steve Smith
out of the seat of power.
It was too little
too late.
Dennis Mangers,
cochairman of the No on 8 Northern California Committee,
said next time, "we'll have to do better."
While Prop. 8 got
the lion's share of post-election coverage, Dan
Savage, editorial director for Seattle
newsweekly The Stranger and well-known
sex columnist, penned an op-ed for The
New York Times about the the Arkansas measure, approved by 57% of
voters, that bars unmarried couples from being foster
parents or adopting children.
In his piece,
"Anti-Gay, Anti-Family," Savage writes,
"While the measure bans both gay and straight
members of cohabitating couples as foster or adoptive
parents, the Arkansas Family Council wrote it expressly to
thwart 'the gay agenda.'" Instead of being
"pro-family," the law is antifamily and
will end up denying a family to some of the the 3,700
children in state custody, 1,000 of whom are eligible to
be adopted.
And, worse, he
says, "The overwhelming majority of these children
have been abused, neglected or abandoned by their
heterosexual parents."
Savage notes that
the architects of this bill are hoping to introduce
similar bills in other states. He concludes: "The
loss in California last week was heartbreaking. But
what may be coming next is terrifying."